Evaluating Natural Attenuation of Dissolved Volatile Organic Compounds in Shallow Aquifer in Industrial Complex Using Numerical Models

Abstract

A VOC-contaminated shallow aquifer in an industrial site was investigated to evaluate its potential for natural attenuation. The shallow groundwater aquifer beneath the industrial site has been contaminated by dissolved volatile organic compounds (VOCs) such as trichloroethylene (TCE), cis-1,2-dichloroethylene (cis-DCE), and vinyl chloride (VC) for more than three decades. Monitoring and investigation were implemented during 2011–2024, aiming to propose future groundwater aquifer management strategies. This study included groundwater borehole investigation, well installation monitoring, hydraulic head measurements, slug tests, groundwater samplings, and microbial analyses. Microbial investigations identified the predominant group of microorganisms of Proteobacteria, indicating biodegradation potential, as demonstrated by the presence of cis-DCE and VC. BIOSCREEN was used to evaluate the process of natural attenuation, incorporating site-specific parameters. A two-layer groundwater flow model was developed using MODFLOW with hydraulic conductivities obtained from slug tests. The site has an average hydraulic head of 259.6 m amsl with a hydraulic gradient of 0.026, resulting in an average groundwater flow velocity of 11 m/y. Hydraulic conductivities were estimated during model calibration using the PEST pilot point technique. A reactive transport model, RT3D, was used to simulate dissolved TCE transport over 30 years, which can undergo sorption as well as biodegradation. Model calibration demonstrated a satisfactory fit between observed and simulated groundwater heads with a root mean square error of 0.08 m and a correlation coefficient (r) between measured and simulated heads of 0.81, confirming the validity of the hydraulic conductivity distribution. The TCE plume continuously degraded and gradually migrated southward, generating a cis-DCE plume. The concentrations in both plumes decreased toward the end of the simulation period at Source 1 (located upstream), while BIOSCREEN results confirmed ongoing natural attenuation primarily by biodegradation. The integrated MODFLOW-RT3D-BIOSCREEN approach effectively evaluated VOC attenuation and plume migration. However, future remediation strategies should consider enhanced bioremediation to accelerate contaminant degradation at Source 2 and ensure long-term groundwater quality.