Macroscopic Big Data Analysis and Prediction of Driving Behavior with an Adaptive Fuzzy Recurrent Neural Network on the Internet of Vehicles

Abstract

Dangerous driving behaviors are diverse and complex. Determining how to analyze the driving behavior of public drivers objectively and accurately has always been a research challenge. This research proposes a macroscopic and dynamic method for evaluating drivers' dangerous driving degree based on a fuzzy inference system. It also designs fuzzy-macro long short-term memory (LSTM), a variant of LSTM recurrent neural networks, which can predict drivers' dangerous driving behaviors and risk degree. We elucidate how a macroscopic fuzzy inference dangerous driving behavior system is designed based on various driving behavior factors and the neuron architecture of the fuzzy-macro LSTM network. We collect real driving behavior data of drivers on the road and conduct a series of experimental analyses. Compared with five other commonly used time-series forecasting neural network models, our fuzzy-macro LSTM model performs best in terms of prediction error. Experimental results verify the effectiveness of the proposed method for macroanalysis and prediction of dangerous driving behavior.