A Novel Sea Surface Temperature Prediction Model Using DBN-SVR and Spatiotemporal Secondary Calibration

Abstract

Sea surface temperature (SST) is crucial for weather forecasting, climate modeling, and environmental monitoring. This study proposes a novel prediction model that achieves a 60-day forecast with a root mean square error (RMSE) consistently below 0.9 °C. The model combines the nonlinear feature extraction of a deep belief network (DBN) with the high-precision regression of support vector regression (SVR), enhanced by spatiotemporal secondary calibration (SSC) to better capture SST variation patterns. Using satellite-derived remote sensing data, the DBN-SVR model outperforms baseline methods in both the Indian Ocean and North Pacific regions, demonstrating strong applicability across diverse marine environments. This work advances long-term SST prediction capabilities, providing a reliable foundation for extended-range marine forecasts.