Recent advancements in prediction of tropical cyclone track over north Indian Ocean basin

Abstract

Improving the Tropical cyclone (TC) prediction is always an important research area and challenging task to the meteorologists since it poses a major impact on human life, properties and countries economy. The operational and research centers around the globe have been working to better understand the multiscale interactions involved to advance the TC predictions. Mohanty and Gupta (1997) have elaborated different statistical and dynamical methods for the track prediction of TCs over the North Indian Ocean (NIO) basin. The present review article focuses on research activities with emphasis to numerical weather prediction (NWP) methods that led to advance the TC track prediction over the NIO basin in the last two decades. The evolution of NWP models and advancements in genesis, movement and storm surges by these models are discussed.