Technical and Policy Analysis: Time Series of Land Subsidence for the Evaluation of the Jakarta Groundwater-Free Zone

Abstract

Jakarta faces a critical challenge of extensive land subsidence, ranking prominently globally. This research employs a combined technical and policy evaluation approach to analyze the issue, incorporating sustainability considerations to assess the efficacy of Governor Regulation of Jakarta Number 93 of 2021, focusing on how the groundwater-free zone relates to land subsidence in the city. We processed 81 ALOS-2 PALSAR-2 synthetic aperture radar (SAR) data using persistent scatterer interferometric synthetic aperture radar (PS-InSAR) with HH polarization from 2017 to 2022 and ground truthing with 255 global positioning system (GPS) real-time kinematic (RTK) validation points. Our findings reveal a significant misalignment in the designated groundwater-free zone in the central part of Jakarta. At the same time, severe land subsidence primarily affects northern and northwestern Jakarta, with an average land subsidence rate of 5–6 cm/year. We strongly advocate for a thorough evaluation to rectify and redefine the boundaries of groundwater-free zones, improve regulatory frameworks, and effectively address land subsidence mitigation in the study area. The impact of domestic water needs on land subsidence highlights the urgency of action. Based on a combination of land subsidence velocity rates and domestic water demand, we have classified the cities in Jakarta into three levels of recommendations for groundwater-free zones. The cities are ranked in order of priority from highest to lowest: (1) West Jakarta, (2) North Jakarta, (3) South Jakarta, (4) East Jakarta, and (5) Central Jakarta, which holds the lowest priority.