Human genetic evidence enriched for side effects of approved drugs

Abstract

Safety failures are an important factor in low drug development success rates. Human genetic evidence can select drug targets causal in disease and enrich for successful programs. Here, we sought to determine whether human genetic evidence can also enrich for labeled side effects (SEs) of approved drugs. We combined the SIDER database of SEs with human genetic evidence from genome-wide association studies, Mendelian disease, and somatic mutations. SEs were 2.0 times more likely to occur for drugs whose target possessed human genetic evidence for a trait similar to the SE. Enrichment was highest when the trait and SE were most similar to each other, and was robust to removing drugs where the approved indication was also similar to the SE. The enrichment of genetic evidence was greatest for SEs that were more drug specific, affected more people, and were more severe. There was significant heterogeneity among disease areas the SEs mapped to, with the highest positive predictive value for cardiovascular SEs. This supports the integration of human genetic evidence early in the drug discovery process to identify potential SE risks to be monitored or mitigated in the course of drug development.