On the applicability of random and the best solution driven metaheuristics for analytic programming and time series regression

Abstract

This paper provides a closer insight into applicability and performance of the hybridization of symbolic regression open framework, which is Analytical Programming (AP) and Differential Evolution (DE) algorithm in the task of time series regression. AP can be considered as a robust open framework for symbolic regression thanks to its usability in any programming language with arbitrary driving metaheuristic. The motivation behind this research is to explore and investigate the applicability and differences in performance of AP driven by basic canonical entirely random or best solution driven mutation strategies of DE. An experiment with four case studies has been carried out here with the several time series consisting of GBP/USD exchange rate. The differences between regression/prediction models synthesized using AP as a direct consequence of different DE strategies performances are statistically compared and briefly discussed in conclusion section of this paper.