Evaluation of Temporal Trends in Forest Health Status Using Precise Remote Sensing

Abstract

In recent decades, forests have experienced an increasing trend in the number of pest outbreaks worldwide, apparently driven by strong annual variability in precipitation, higher air temperatures, and strong winds. Pest outbreaks have negative ecological, economic, and environmental impacts on forest ecosystems, such as reduced biodiversity, carbon sequestration, and overall forest health. Traditional monitoring methods of these disturbances, while accurate, are time-consuming and limited in scope. Remote sensing, particularly UAV (Unmanned Aerial Vehicle)-based technologies, offers a precise and cost effective alternative for monitoring forest health. This study evaluates the temporal and spatial progression of bark beetle damage in a fir-dominated forest in the Zao Mountains, Japan, using UAV RGB imagery and DL (Deep Learning) models (YOLO - You Only Look Ones), over a four-year period (2021–2024). Trees were classified into six health categories: Healthy, Light Damage, Medium Damage, Heavy Damage, Dead, and Fallen. The results revealed a significant decline in healthy trees, from 67.4% in 2021 to 25.6% in 2024, with a corresponding increase in damaged and dead trees. Light damage emerged as a potential early indicator of forest health decline. The DL model achieved an accuracy of 74.9% to 82.8%. The results showed the effectiveness of DL in detecting severe damage but highlighted that challenges in distinguishing between healthy and lightly damaged trees still remain. The study highlights the potential of UAV-based remote sensing and DL for monitoring forest health, providing valuable insights for targeted management interventions. However, further refinement of the classification methods is needed to improve accuracy, particularly in the precise detection of tree health categories. This approach offers a scalable solution for monitoring forest health in similar ecosystems in other subalpine areas of Japan and the world.