U-shaped association between waist-to-hip ratio and all-cause mortality in stage 3–5 chronic kidney disease patients with body mass index paradox

Abstract

The obesity paradox, referring to the association of high body mass index (BMI) with low all-cause mortality risk, is found in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). Central obesity is associated with metabolic syndrome and may have better prognostic value than BMI for all-cause mortality. Whether central obesity is associated with all-cause mortality in cases of obesity paradox in CKD patients remains unknown. We included 3262 patients with stage 3–5 CKD, grouped into five quintiles (Q1–5) by waist-to-hip ratio (WHR). Low WHR and BMI were associated with malnutrition and inflammation. In Cox regression, high BMI was not associated with all-cause mortality, but BMI <22.5 kg/m2 increased the mortality risk. A U-shaped association between central obesity and all-cause mortality was found: WHR Q1, Q4, and Q5 had higher risk for all-cause mortality. The hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) of WHR Q5 and Q1 for all-cause mortality was 1.39 (1.03–1.87) and 1.53 (1.13–2.05) in male and 1.42 (1.02–1.99) and 1.28 (0.88–1.85) in female, respectively. Waist-to-height ratio and conicity index showed similar results. Low WHR or low BMI and high WHR, but not high BMI, are associated with all-cause mortality in advanced CKD.