Analysis of landslide potential due to changes of land use/land cover at the Kuranji watershed, Padang using normalized difference built-up index (NDBI)

Abstract

The earthquake and tsunami predictions in the city of Padang have caused very rapid land-use changes, especially in the Kuranji watershed, where people tend to seek locations that are safe from tsunamis and liquefaction. Changes in environmental characteristics such as slope geometry conditions, vegetation density, and changes in land use will affect runoff coefficient and rainwater filtration, triggering a potential for landslides. This study aims to analyze the potential for landslides due to changes in land use in the Kuranji Watershed. The identification of land-use change is carried out using a remote sensing approach, namely the Normalized Difference Built-Up Index (NDBI). Landslide potential is determined based on the relationship between land use and runoff coefficient from 2007 to 2019. The results showed there had been an increase in the built-up area in the Kuranji watershed from 1602.212 ha (2007) to 2897.513 ha (2019). In contrast, the vegetation area has decreased. An increase in the runoff coefficient of 3.9% from 2007 to 2019. The final results of this study are thematic geospatial information obtained in the form of the relationship between changes in land use and the potential for landslides that occurred in the Kuranji watershed during the period 2007 to 2019.