Identification of risk factors for targeted diabetic retinopathy screening to urgently decrease the rate of blindness in people with diabetes in India

Abstract

Purpose: There is an exponential rise in the prevalence of diabetes mellitus (DM) in India. Ideally all people with DM should be periodically screening for diabetic retinopathy (DR) but is not practical with current infrastructure. An alternate strategy is to identify high-risk individuals with vision-threatening diabetic retinopathy (VTDR) for priority screening and treatment. Methods: We reanalyzed four population-based studies, conducted in South India between 2001 and 2010, and reclassified individuals above 40 years into known and newly diagnosed diabetes. Multiple regression analysis was done to identify risk factors in people with known and new DM. Results: The prevalence of DR in 44,599 subjects aged ≥40 years was 14.8% (18.4 and 4.7% in known and new DM, respectively), and the prevalence of VTDR was 5.1%. Higher risk factors of VTDR were older age >50 years, diabetes duration >5 years, and systolic blood pressure >140 mm Hg. Targeted screening of people with diabetes using high-risk criteria obtained from this study was able to detect 93.5% of all individuals with VTDR. Conclusion: In a limited resource country like India, a high-risk group-based targeted screening of individuals with DM could be prioritized while continuing the current opportunistic screening till India adopts universal screening of all people with DM.