Machine learning modelling and evaluation of jet fires from natural gas processing, storage, and transport

Abstract

Jet fires and their repercussions play a significant role in catastrophic incidents that typically have a cascading impact in process industries. Several hydrocarbon experiments from 19 papers were incorporated into the current endeavour to develop simulations of jet flames using machine learning (ML) models. Dimensionless characteristics have been used as output and input variables, including mass flow rates, fuel density, jet flame length, and heat release fluxes. When training three layers of the multi-layer feedforward neural network (MLFFNN) method, a Bayesian regularization backpropagation approach was adopted and evaluated with the radial based functions (RBF) algorithm. Through an optimization procedure, the first and second hidden layers of the MLFFNN have been optimized to include 10 and five neurons, respectively. The RBF algorithm with 40 neurons in a single layer has been computed using the same method. The best mean square error (MSE) validation results for RBF and MLFFNN were 0.006 and 0.0002, respectively, for 40 and 100 epochs. The MLFFNN and RBF models' respective regression statistical analysis outputs were 0.9949 and 0.9645. The ML method has been identified as a potentially useful technique for precisely predicting the geometrical and radiative characteristics of jet flames.