Development of a novel tumor microenvironment-related radiogenomics model for prognosis prediction in hepatocellular carcinoma

Abstract

Background: The tumour microenvironment (TME) has occupied a potent position in the tumorigenesis and tumor progression of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Radiogenomics is an emerging field that integrates imaging and genetic information, thus offering a novel class of non-invasive biomarkers with diagnostic, prognostic, and treatment response. However, optimal evaluation methodologies for radiogenomics in patients with HCC have not been well established. Therefore, this study aims to develop a radiogenomics models, associating contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CECT) based radiomics features and transcriptomics data with TME, to increase predictive precision for overall survival (OS) in patients with HCC. Methods: Transcriptome profiles of 365 patients with HCC from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA)-HCC cohort were used to obtain TME-related genes by differential expression analysis. TME-related radiomics features of 53 patients with HCC from The Cancer Imaging Archive (TCIA)-HCC cohort matched with the TCGA-HCC cohort were screened via correlation analysis. Furthermore, a radiogenomics score-based prognostic model was constructed using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox regression analysis in the TCIA-HCC cohort. Finally, the ability to predict prognosis and the value of the model in identifying the abundance of immune cell infiltration were investigated. Results: A radiogenomics prognostic model was developed, which incorporated 1 radiomics feature [original_gray-level co-occurrence matrix (glcm)_inverse difference normalized (Idn)] and 3 genes [spen paralogue and orthologue C-terminal domain containing 1 (SPOCD1); killer cell lectin like receptor B1 (KLRB1); G protein-coupled receptor 182 (GPR182)]. The model performed satisfactorily in the training and test sets [1-year, 2-year, 3-year area under the curve (AUC) of 0.81, 0.85 and 0.87 in the training set, respectively; and 0.73, 0.83, and 0.84 in the test set, respectively]. Moreover, the model showed that higher radiogenomics scores were associated with worse OS and lower levels of immune infiltration. Conclusions: The novel CECT-based radiogenomics model may provide valuable insights for prognostic stratification and TME assessment of patients with HCC.