Climate-Related Heat Stress and Psychological Outcomes in Self-Employed Delivery Workers: Evidence from Brasília, Brazil

Abstract

This study examines whether daily heat exposure worsens psychological well-being among self-employed motorcycle delivery workers in Brasília, Brazil. Using ecological momentary assessment over 15 consecutive days in August 2025, 45 workers were recruited and 30 (66.7%) completed twice-daily mobile prompts (12:00 and 18:00) rating stress, fatigue, mood, and perceived heat (1–5 scales) and reporting kilometers traveled. Environmental data (temperature, relative humidity, barometric pressure) were paired from the INMET Brasília station. Linear regressions with cluster-robust standard errors by participant tested associations. Higher temperature was consistently related to greater strain: each +1 °C was associated with higher stress (β = 0.196, 95% CI 0.179–0.213), higher fatigue (β = 0.289, 95% CI 0.284–0.295), and worse mood (β = 0.149, 95% CI 0.130–0.168). Adding relative humidity yielded small but reliable partial effects (lower stress and better mood, yet higher fatigue) amid strong dry-season collinearity between temperature and humidity. The findings indicate that even modest day-to-day warming corresponds to measurable deterioration in psychological outcomes in a precarious, outdoor, platform-mediated workforce. Policies that expand hydration and shaded rest access, integrate heat indices into alerts, and adapt platform scheduling to reduce peak-heat exposure may mitigate risk.