Assessing financial factors for oil supply disruptions and its impact on oil supply security and transportation risks

Abstract

The evaluation of energy security offers a standard for policy research and highlights the problems of securing the energy supply. A composite index for analyzing the risk of Southeast Asian nations’ oil supply is developed in this study. Indicators used to calculate the index include the import-to-LGE ratio, GPR, market liquidity, gross domestic product, the import-to-consumption ratio, heterogeneity, oil price volatility, US$ volatility, and transportation risk. The index is based on these and other factors. According to the findings, Nepal and Sri Lanka are the most susceptible to oil supply interruptions. This indicates that India is more likely to shift its oil suppliers. At the same time, Maldives, Nepal, and Sri Lanka have the lowest supply risk scores, indicating that they are the most vulnerable to supply disruptions. Reduce the effect of oil supply risk by enacting policies such as the adoption of renewable technologies, nuclear power generation, diversification of exporting supplies, and reducing fossil fuel subsidies.