The complex nature of financial market microstructure: the case of a stock market crash

Abstract

This paper uses multivariate Hawkes processes to model the transactions behavior of the US stock market as measured by the 30 Dow Jones Industrial Average individual stocks before, during and after the 36-min May 6, 2010, Flash Crash. The basis for our analysis is the excitation matrix, which describes a complex network of interactions among the stocks. Using high-frequency transactions data, we find strong evidence of self- and asymmetrically cross-induced contagion and the presence of fragmented trading venues. Our findings have implications for stock trading and corresponding risk management strategies as well as stock market microstructure design.