The assessment of the effectiveness of the implementation of scenarios for the sustainable development of agriculture

Abstract

In the following article, the advantage of the scenario analysis of the development of agriculture at assessment of effective management of its sustainable development, taking into account realization of possible strategic objectives is disclosed. Comparative characteristic of three scenarios of development of agriculture is given. Their differences are specified. The system of indicators that allows determining the effect of the complex processes of use of natural and production resources on effectiveness of management of sustainable development of agriculture is characterized. Its perspective growth parameters in the sectoral context are analyzed. The conclusion is drawn that the effective scenario at which the Russian agrarian economic policy has to be aimed is optimistic. It is this vector of effective management, which can ensure the achievement of strategic landmarks for the development of the agro-industrial complex for a ten-year perspective.