Prediction of covid-19 outbreak in India by employing epidemiological models

Abstract

The novel Corona virus (Covid-19) pandemic has frightened an unprecedented challenge to continents. The Covid-19 pandemic is a highly contagious viral disease that has been progressing across the globe. The global thought leaders, doctors, scientists and other intellects have enforced the lockdown to reduce the spread of the pandemic. The objective is to study the impact of lockdown and to compare its effects from an epidemiological standpoint. Authors employed Exponential and SIR (Susceptible, Infected and Removed) epidemiological models for study and analysis. The study reveals that India will enter equilibrium by the end of June with a prediction of 135,000 cases approximately.