Social Determinants of Remaining Life Expectancy at Age 60: A District-Level Analysis in Germany

Abstract

Remaining life expectancy at age 60 (in short: RLE) is an important indicator of the health status of a population’s elders. Until now, RLE has not been thoroughly investigated at the district level in Germany. In this study we analyzed, based on recent publicly available data (2015–2017), and for men and women separately, how large the RLE differences were in Germany across the 401 districts. Furthermore, we examined a wide range of potential social determinants in terms of their bivariate and multivariate (i.e., partial) impact on men’s and women’s RLE. Men’s district-level RLE ranged between 19.89 and 24.32 years, women’s district-level RLE between 23.67 and 27.16 years. The best single predictor both for men’s and women’s RLE at district level was ‘proportion of employees with academic degree’ with standardized partial regression coefficients of 0.42 (men) and 0.51 (women). Second and third in rank were classic economic predictors, such as ‘household income’ (men), ‘proportion of elder with financial elder support’ (women), and ‘unemployment’ (men and women). Indicators expressing the availability of medical services and staffing levels of nursing homes and services had at best a marginal partial impact. This study contributes to the growing body of evidence that a population’s educational level is a decisive determinant of population health resp. life expectancy in contemporary industrialized societies.