Relative Impact of Climate Change and Grazing on NDVI Changes in Grassland in the Mt. Qomolangma Nature Reserve and Adjacent Regions during 2000–2018

Abstract

As the roof of the world, the Mt. Qomolangma National Nature Reserve and adjacent regions have a fragile environment and are very sensitive to global climate change. Based on the MODIS and SPOT remote sensing data during 2000–2018, we aimed to explore the change trend and driving factors of grassland in this area under the dual influence of climate change and human activities. Here, temperature and precipitation data were enrolled as the main indicators of climate change, while the number of livestock at the end of the year was regarded as the key indicator of grazing. The results showed that: (1) during 2000–2018, the grassland NDVI reflected an overall increasing trend, and the impact of precipitation was more significant than those of temperature and grazing at both pixel and county levels; (2) probably due to the large population and high grazing intensity, the grassland NDVI in Tingri County was controlled by both precipitation and grazing. In general, precipitation exerts a greater impact on the NDVI changes since this region is characterized by arid and semiarid climates. In some areas, vegetation growth is simultaneously affected by both grazing and climate factors due to the relatively greater pressure of grazing. In the context of future warming, control of the number of tourists for Mt. Qomolangma, as well as that of livestock in Tingri County, will help improve sustainability development and to reduce the adverse effects of grassland degradation.