This paper discusses the impact of a series of psychological phenomena on the U.S. response to COVID-19, focusing on forecasts of cases and deaths. The specific phenomena comprise unrealistic optimism bias, overconfidence, anchoring and adjustment, representativeness, motivated reasoning, and groupthink.
CITATION STYLE
Shefrin, H. (2020). The Psychology Underlying Biased Forecasts of COVID-19 Cases and Deaths in the United States. Frontiers in Psychology, 11. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2020.590594
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