Changes in drought conditions in Poland over the past 60 years evaluated by the standardized precipitation-evapotranspiration index

Abstract

This paper investigates the variability of drought conditions in Poland in the years 1956-2015 with the use of the Standardized Precipitation-Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI). The study provides a new insight into the phenomenon of the past expansion of the drought-affected area as well as evidence of drying trends in a spatiotemporal context. 3-month, 6-month, and 12-month SPEI were considered, representing drought conditions relevant to agriculture and hydrology. The analysis demonstrates that the spatial extent of droughts shows a broad variability. The annual mean of the percentage of the area under drought has witnessed an increase for all three SPEI timescales. This also pertains to the mean area affected by drought over the growing season (April-September). A decreasing trend in the SPEI values indicates an increase in the severity of droughts over the 60-year period in question in an area extending from the south-west to the central part of Poland.