Fair Value Valuation Analysis of Stock Prices Using The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Approach In Telecommunication Companies In Indonesia

Abstract

PT Telkom Indonesia (Persero), Tbk (TLKM), PT XL Axiata, Tbk (EXCL), and PT Indosat, Tbk (ISAT) are three Indonesian telecommunications firms whose stocks will be valued using the Discounted Cash Flow technique from 2019 until 2023.  According to the analysis, TLKM and EXCL stocks are undervalued, with market prices lower than their intrinsic values. This condition presents attractive investment opportunities for long-term investors, where potential gains may be realized if the companies' performance continues to improve and the market eventually appreciates the intrinsic value of the stocks. Conversely, ISAT stocks are identified as overvalued, with market prices exceeding their intrinsic values. This situation indicates excessive market expectations or the influence of certain external factors, making the decision to sell ISAT stocks a strategic move to realize capital gains before potential market corrections occur. These results emphasise how crucial it is to fully comprehend the internal and external aspects affecting company value before making any investing decisions. Investors are advised not to rely solely on valuation results but to also consider industry prospects, macroeconomic conditions, and company-specific issues to ensure more informed and strategic investment decisions. This study provides valuable insights for investors and market participants in identifying opportunities and risks in stock investments within the telecommunications sector.