Modeling of Economic Growth of Agrarian Production

Abstract

Authors by the correlation and regression analysis conducted a research of influence of various elements of costs of productivity of separate species of crops. The highest interrelation between variable expenses and an indicator of productivity of crops, except for corn and sunflower was as a result established. Based on results we worked out the optimizing model directed to achievement economic growth of agricultural production on Russia by the set the pace. Within the developed model the most effective option of a ratio of the state subsidies and investments is presented on the basis of what rational restrictions and criteria of formation of optimum investment policy are designated. As one of additional sources of financing of branch it is offered to use the state support. Proceeding from it possible methods of application of the budgetary resources are considered: compensation of a part of expenses of economic entities; public financing of profitability of farmers; use of a subsidy in the form of investments into current assets. The most rational option of use of budgetary funds agricultural producers determined the third. As key criteria of economic growth of agrarian production the indicator of level of profitability (payback) which as a result of realization of the offered actions has to increase up to 42,2% and above is presented and reasonable. The received values of this indicator demonstrate the steady or accelerated development of branch of agriculture.