Enhanced TSMixer Model for the Prediction and Control of Particulate Matter

Abstract

This study presents an improved deep-learning model, termed Enhanced Time Series Mixer (E-TSMixer), for the prediction of particulate matter. By analyzing the temporal evolution of PM2.5 concentrations from multivariate monitoring data, the model demonstrates significant prediction capabilities while maintaining consistency with observed pollutant transport characteristics in the urban boundary layer. In E-TSMixer, a fully connected output layer is proposed to enhance the predictive capability for complex spatiotemporal dependencies. The relevant data on air quality and traffic flow are fused to achieve high-precision predictions of PM2.5 concentrations through a multivariate time-series forecasting model. An asymmetric penalty mechanism is added to dynamically optimize the loss function. Experimental results indicate that the proposed E-TSMixer model achieves higher accuracy for the prediction of PM2.5, which significantly outperforms the traditional models. Additionally, an intelligent dual regulation of fixed and dynamic threshold model is introduced and combined with E-TSMixer for the decision-making model of the real-time adjustments of the frequency, routes, and timing of water truck operation in practice.