Association between Inflammation-Based Prognostic Markers and Mortality in Patients Admitted to Intensive Care Units

Abstract

Background: We compared the prognostic value of the C-reactive protein (CRP)-to-albumin ratio (CAR), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and modified Glasgow prognostic score (mGPS) with the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score in an intensive care unit (ICUs). Methods: This study used the data of 53,877 adult patients admitted to an ICU between June 2013 and May 2022. Using the CAR, NLR, and mGPS values, as well as the SOFA score from the ICU, we conducted multivariable logistic regression analysis and used the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve to compare the predictive value for 28-day and 1-year mortality. Results: A total of 2419 patients (4.5%) died within 28 days, and 6209 (11.5%) patients died within 1 year. After an adjustment, all predictors were found to be independent risk factors for 28-day mortality (odds ratio [OR] 1.31, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.29–1.33, p < 0.001 for the SOFA score; OR 1.05, 95% CI 1.03–1.07, p < 0.001 for CAR; OR 1.01, 95% CI 1.00–1.02, p < 0.001 for the NLR; and OR 1.19, 95% CI 1.08–1.30, p < 0.001 for the mGPS). This trend persisted for the 1-year mortality. In ROC curve analysis, the CAR showed better predictability than the NLR and mGPS. Furthermore, the predictive power of the CAR was significantly higher than that of the SOFA score for 1-year mortality. Conclusions: The CAR, NLR, and mGPS values at ICU admission were independent risk factors of mortality after ICU admission. The predictive value of CAR was higher than that of the SOFA score for 1-year mortality. CAR assessment at ICU admission may be a feasible predictor of long-term mortality.