Projection of electricity demand after the vaccination policy in handling the Covid-19 pandemic in Central Java Province, Indonesia

Abstract

In dealing with the Covid-19 pandemic, the government issued policies to limit economic activity and reduce electricity demand. However, to overcome this, the government has carried out a Covid-19 vaccination program to achieve Herd Immunity to resume their economic activities to increase electricity demand for several sectors. To analyze electricity in Central Java after the vaccination program during Covid-19 then an energy planning model was made using the LEAP software. LEAP requires data in social-economic data, customer data, and energy use intensity per sector. The scenarios used in this study are the no pandemic or business as usual (BAU) scenario and two post-COVID-19 pandemic scenarios with vaccination policies, namely optimistic (OPT) and pessimistic (PES) scenarios. From the results of this research, the projected results of electricity demand in 2030 are 40,691 Gigawatt-Hour (OPT) and 39,924 Gigawatt-Hour (PES). Therefore, it is necessary to consider the consequences of the Covid-19 Pandemic, where in the basic scenario, 43,773 Gigawatt-Hour, is obtained.