Patterns in Cancer Incidence among People Younger Than 50 Years in the US, 2010 to 2019

Abstract

Importance: Emerging data suggest that the incidence of early-onset cancers, defined as cancers diagnosed in people younger than 50 years, is increasing, but updated data are limited. Objective: To characterize the patterns in the incidence of early-onset cancers in the US from 2010 to 2019 and provide granular data on the cancers with the fastest-growing incidence rates. Design, Setting, and Participants: This population-based cohort study analyzed data from 17 National Cancer Institute Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results registries from January 1, 2010, to December 31, 2019. Age-standardized incidence rates per 100000 people were extracted for early-onset cancers, with rates age adjusted to the US standard population. A total of 562145 patients with early-onset cancer between 2010 and 2019 were identified and included. Data were analyzed from October 16, 2022, to May 23, 2023. Main Outcomes and Measures: Primary outcomes were incidence rates and descriptive epidemiological data for people younger than 50 years with cancer. The annual percentage change (APC) of the age-standardized incidence rate was estimated using the Joinpoint regression program. Results: Among 562145 patients (324 138 [57.7%] aged 40-49 years; 351 120 [62.5%] female) with early-onset cancer, 4565 (0.8%) were American Indian or Alaska Native, 54876 (9.8%) were Asian or Pacific Islander, 61048 (10.9%) were Black, 118099 (21.0%) were Hispanic, 314610 (56.0%) were White, and 8947 (1.6%) were of unknown race and/or ethnicity. From 2010 to 2019, the age-standardized incidence rate of early-onset cancers increased overall (APC, 0.28%; 95% CI, 0.09%-0.47%; P =.01) and in female individuals (APC, 0.67%; 95% CI, 0.39%-0.94%; P =.001) but decreased in male individuals (APC, -0.37%; 95% CI, -0.51% to -0.22%; P