Predicting values of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP), and left atrial diameter (LAD) in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation recurrence after radiofrequency ablation

Abstract

Background: The purpose of this study was to evaluate the predictive values of lipid level, inflammatory biomarkers, and echocardiographic parameters in late NVAF (nonvalvular atrial fibrillation) recurrence after RFA (radiofrequency ablation). Material/Methods: This retrospective single-center study enrolled 263 patients with paroxysmal or persistent NVAF who underwent initial RFA from Jan 2017 to Jan 2019. The patients were divided into a Recurrent group (n=70) and a Nonrecurrent group (n=193). Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used for evaluating the predictive factors of late NVAF recurrence. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were constructed to assess the predictive performance and the optimum cut-off level of variables. Results: Late NVAF recurrence occurred in 70 patients (26.6%) after initial RFA within 12-month follow-up. Patients in the Recurrent group had significant higher NLR (neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio), hs-CRP (high-sensitivity C-reactive protein), LVEDD (left ventricular end-diastolic dimension), LVESD (left ventricular end-systolic dimension), and LAD (left atrial diameter) than those in the Nonrecurrent group (P<0.05). In multivariate analysis, increased NLR (HR=1.438, 95% CI: 1.036-1.995, P<0.05), hs-CRP (HR=1.137, 95% CI: 1.029-1.257, P<0.05) and LAD (HR=1.089, 95% CI: 1.036-1.146, P<0.05) were independent predictors of NVAF recurrence. The area under the curve (AUC) of NLR and hs-CRP was 0.603 (95% CI 0.525-0.681) and 0.584 (95% CI 0.501-0.666), respectively. The combination of NLR, hs-CRP, and LAD revealed an AUC of 0.684 (95% CI 0.611-0.757), with cutoff values of 2.33, 2.025 ng/L, and 44.5 mm, respectively. Conclusions: The combination of preoperative NLR, hs-CRP, and LAD can predict late NVAF recurrence.