Circulation anomalies in the mid–high latitudes responsible for the extremely hot summer of 2018 over northeast Asia

Abstract

This study investigated the contributions of mid–high-latitude circulation anomalies to the extremely hot summer (July and August; JA) of 2018 over Northeast Asia (NEA). The JA-mean surface air temperature in 2018 was 1.2°C higher than that of the 1979–2018 climatology, with the amplitude of such an anomaly almost doubling the interannual standard deviation, making 2018 the hottest year during the analysis period 1979–2018. The abnormal warming over NEA was caused by a local positive geopotential height anomaly reaching strongest intensity in JA 2018. Further investigation suggested that the upper-tropospheric circulation anomalies over northern Europe and the Caspian Sea were crucial to forming this NEA circulation anomaly through initiating downstream wave trains. Particularly, the geopotential heights over these two regions were concurrently at their highest in JA 2018, and therefore jointly contributed to the profound circulation anomaly over NEA and the hottest summer on record. Due to these two teleconnection patterns, the temperature anomalies in NEA are closely related to those in both northern Europe and the Caspian Sea, where the similarly extreme warming also happened in 2018.