A Longitudinal Analysis of Unaided Smoking Cessation

Abstract

A sample of 153 smokers who attempted to quit smoking without treatment was followed for 2 years. Follow-up assessments occurred at 1 month, 4 months, 1 year, and 2 years postquit. A subsample of 69 individuals was also interviewed prior to their quit date. The majority of participants (77%) achieved at least 24 hr of abstinence by the 1-month follow-up. However, subsequent relapse rates were high: Only 13% of the sample was abstinent at 1 year, and 19% reported abstinence at the 2-year follow-up. Variables related to short-term outcome were generally unrelated to long-term outcome. Individuals who succeeded at initial cessation were more likely to be men and to be lighter smokers. Among those who initially quit, abstainers at 1 month were less likely to have participated in prior treatment, to report smokers among their friends, and to live with other smokers. At 2 years, abstainers were younger and had smoked for fewer years. The use of multiple strategies for cessation was associated with abstinence at the 2-year follow-up. A strong motivation to quit was found to be important for both initial success and long-term maintenance.