A stochastic power flow-based static security assessment under uncertain scenarios

Abstract

With the gradual increase in the grid-connected capacity of renewable energy sources, the uncertainty in the operation of power systems has increased, posing challenges to static security assessment considering N-1 contingency scanning. To address this, this article first establishes a static security calculation model based on stochastic power flow. Then, it proposes stochastic component-level safety indexes and system-level safety indexes. Finally, using the analytic hierarchy process to analyze the obtained weighting coefficients, the article establishes a system of static security assessment indexes for power systems. A data-driven simulation method based on extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) is proposed to tackle the high time consumption of multi-scenario static security assessment, which brings difficulties in model debugging and application. Case studies based on the IEEE 39-bus system demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed model and the rapidity of the data-driven approach.