Prevalence of Low-Frequency, Antiviral Resistance Variants in SARS-CoV-2 Isolates in Ontario, Canada, 2020-2023

Abstract

Importance: Nirmatrelvir-ritonavir is an oral antiviral medication that improves outcomes in SARS-CoV-2 infections. However, there is concern that antiviral resistance will develop and that these viruses could be selected for after treatment. Objective: To determine the prevalence of low-frequency SARS-CoV-2 variants in patient samples that could be selected for by nirmatrelvir-ritonavir. Design, Setting, and Participants: This retrospective cohort study was conducted at 4 laboratories that serve community hospitals, academic tertiary care centers, and COVID-19 assessment centers in Ontario, Canada. Participants included symptomatic or asymptomatic patients who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 virus and submitted virus samples for diagnostic testing between March 2020 and January 2023. Exposure: SARS-CoV-2 infection. Main Outcomes and Measures: Samples with sufficient viral load underwent next-generation genome sequencing to identify low-frequency antiviral resistance variants that could not be identified through conventional sequencing. Results: This study included 78866 clinical samples with next-generation whole-genome sequencing data for SARS-CoV-2. Low-frequency variants in the viral nsp5 gene were identified in 128 isolates (0.16%), and no single variant associated with antiviral resistance was predominate. Conclusions and Relevance: This cohort study of low-frequency variants resistant to nirmatrelvir-ritonavir found that these variants were very rare in samples from patients with SARS-CoV-2, suggesting that selection of these variants by nirmatrelvir-ritonavir following the initiation of treatment may also be rare. Surveillance efforts that involve sequencing of viral isolates should continue to monitor for novel resistance variants as nirmatrelvir-ritonavir is used more broadly.