CLEAR: a new discrete multiplicative random cascade model for disaggregating path-integrated rainfall estimates from commercial microwave links

Abstract

A novel disaggregation algorithm for commercial microwave links (CMLs), named CLEAR (CML Segments with Equal Amounts of Rain), is proposed. CLEAR utilizes a multiplicative random cascade generator to control the splitting of link segments, with the generator's standard deviation dependent on the rain rate and segment length. Spatial consistency during the splitting process is maintained using rain rate information from neighboring CMLs. CLEAR is evaluated on a network of 77 CMLs in Prague. The performance is assessed first using simulated rainfall fields and second through a case study with real attenuation data from the network to demonstrate its applicability in real-world scenarios. Results from the virtual rainfall fields indicate good overall performance, including the generation of realistic spatial patterns and effective estimation of maximal and minimal rain rates along CML paths. The stochastic nature of CLEAR allows it to represent uncertainty as an ensemble of rain rate distributions along CML paths. However, the generated ensembles significantly underestimate overall variability along the paths. Additionally, the case study on real data highlights challenges associated with uncertainties in CML quantitative precipitation estimates, which are common across all methods. In conclusion, CLEAR contributes to generating more representative rainfall distributions along CMLs, which is critical for spatial reconstruction of rainfall fields from path-integrated CML data. It also has the potential to reduce errors in CML quantitative precipitation estimates caused by assuming uniform rain rates along CML paths.