Developing a Multidimensional Framework for Evaluating Forest Ecological Product Production Capacity: A Case Study of Henan Province, China

Abstract

With the escalating demand for forest-derived ecological products, quantifying forest ecological product production capacity (EPC) has become essential for precise ecological governance. Addressing the methodological gaps and complexity in current assessments, this study develops a transferable Forest EPC theoretical framework integrated across four dimensions: environmental background, vegetation status, human pressure, and human investment. Using Henan Province as a case study, we established a multi-criteria evaluation model to characterize the spatial drivers and supply potential of Forest EPC. Our findings reveal that the provincial forest EPC stands at a moderate level (0.341). The spatial distribution is highly heterogeneous: the “medium” EPC grade dominates the landscape (36.69%), whereas “high-level” areas are critically scarce (3.76%). Notably, forest EPC exhibits a strong spatial gradient, with high-performance clusters in the southern and western highlands contrasting with lower values in the northern plains. The identification of significant spatial autocorrelation (Global Moran’s I = 0.71) highlights the necessity of regional collaborative management. This study provides a methodological reference that is adaptable to diverse regional contexts through the recalibration of local indicators and weights, offering a scientific benchmark for optimizing the spatial layout of ecological product supply.