Quantile regression neural network-based fault detection scheme for wind turbines with application to monitoring a bearing

Abstract

Under the framework of normal behavior modeling, this paper develops a novel scheme for fault detection via quantile regression neural networks (QRNNs). The QRNN model is a combination of quantile regressions and neural networks. It is able to identify the normal status or extract the normal behavior data accurately and quickly through lower and upper regression quantiles. Additionally, it is flexible to explore the potential nonlinear patterns contained in the normal status by taking advantage of neural networks. Finally, we monitor the residuals produced from QRNN to detect faults by using the exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control chart. The utility of our scheme is illustrated by empirical analyses of bearing fault detection based on Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition (SCADA) data from a wind turbine. We find that the QRNN model outperforms the multiple linear regression (MLR) and back propagation neural networks (BPNNs) in terms of mean absolute error (MAE). Besides, the obtained relationship between the width of control limits in EWMA and the number of alarms provides an important and convenient way for practical applications.