Epidemiology and natural history of the cardiorenal syndromes in a cohort with echocardiography

Abstract

Background and objectives It is unknown whether echocardiographic parameters are independently associated with the cardiorenal syndrome. No direct comparison of the natural history of various cardiorenal syndrome types has been conducted. Design, setting, participants, & measurements Our retrospective cohort study enrolled adult patients with at least one transthoracic echocardiography between 2004 and 2014 at a single health care system. Information on comorbidities was extracted using condition-specific diagnostic codes. All-cause mortality was the primary outcome among patients with cardiorenal syndrome types 1–4. Myocardial infarction and stroke were the secondary outcomes. Results In total, 30,681 patients were included, and 2512 (8%) developed at least one of the cardiorenal syndromes: 1707 patients developed an acute formof the syndrome (type 1 or 3), 128 patients developed type 2, and 677 patients developed type 4. In addition, 16% of patients with type 2 and 20% of patients with type 4 also developed an acute cardiorenal syndrome, whereas 14% of patients with acute cardiorenal progressed to CKD or chronic heart failure. Decreasing left ventricular ejection fraction, increasing pulmonary artery pressure, and higher right ventricular diameter were independently associated with higher incidence of a cardiorenal syndrome. Acute cardiorenal syndrome was associated with the highest risk of death compared with patients with CKD without cardiorenal syndrome (hazard ratio, 3.13; 95% confidence interval, 2.72 to 3.61; P<0.001). Patients with cardiorenal type 4 had better survival than patients with acute cardiorenal syndrome (hazard ratio, 0.48; 95% confidence interval, 0.37 to 0.61; P<0.001). Patients with acute cardiorenal syndrome and type 4 had increased risk of myocardial infarction and stroke compared with patients with CKD without cardiorenal syndrome. Conclusions Up to 19% of patients with a chronic form of cardiorenal syndrome will subsequently develop an acute syndrome. Development of acute or type 4 cardiorenal syndrome is independently associated with mortality, the acute form having the worst prognosis.