Values of lymphocyte-related ratios in predicting the clinical outcome of acute ischemic stroke patients receiving intravenous thrombolysis based on different etiologies

Abstract

Background: While neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR), and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) have been associated with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) outcomes, their differential predictive value across etiological subtypes (TOAST classification) in thrombolysis-treated patients remains underexplored. Methods: In this retrospective cohort study, we analyzed 381 AIS patients receiving intravenous thrombolysis. Hematological indices were calculated from pre-thrombolysis. Using multivariable logistic regression adjusted for age, NIHSS, and comorbidities, we assessed associations between baseline ratios and 90-day unfavorable outcomes (mRS 3–6). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was used to determine optimal cutoffs stratified by TOAST subtypes. Results: A total of 381 patients were included in the study. NLR showed superior predictive performance: large-artery atherosclerosis: AUC = 0.702 (aOR = 1.35, 95%CI = 1.14–1.61, p = 0.001), small-artery occlusion: AUC = 0.750 (aOR = 1.51, 95%CI = 1.08–2.10, p = 0.015), cardioembolic stroke: AUC = 0.679 (aOR = 1.82, 95%CI = 1.07–3.10, p = 0.028). LMR showed predictive value only in large-artery atherosclerosis (AUC = 0.632, p = 0.004). Optimal NLR cutoffs: 3.19 (large-artery), 3.94 (small-artery), 3.17 (cardioembolic stroke). Conclusion: NLR emerged as a robust, subtype-specific predictor of post-thrombolysis outcomes, particularly in atherosclerotic stroke variants. These findings supported NLR’s clinical utility for risk stratification in thrombolysis-eligible AIS patients.