Deep Learning-Based Functional Independence Measure Score Prediction After Stroke in Kaifukuki (Convalescent) Rehabilitation Ward Annexed to Acute Care Hospital

Abstract

Introduction Prediction models of functional independent measure (FIM) score after kaifukuki (convalescent) rehabilitation ward (KRW) are needed to decide the treatment strategies and save medical resources. Statistical models were reported, but their accuracies were not satisfactory. We made such prediction models using the deep learning (DL) framework, Prediction One (Sony Network Communications Inc., Tokyo, Japan). Methods Of the 559 consecutive stroke patients, 122 patients were transferred to our KRW. We divided our 122 patients' data randomly into halves of training and validation datasets. Prediction One made three prediction models from the training dataset using (1) variables at the acute care ward admission, (2) those at the KRW admission, and (3) those combined (1) and (2). The models' determination coefficients (R2), correlation coefficients (rs), and residuals were calculated using the validation dataset. Results Of the 122 patients, the median age was 71, length of stay (LOS) in acute care ward 23 (17-30) days, LOS in KRW 53 days, total FIM scores at the admission of KRW 85, those at discharge 108. The mean FIM gain and FIM efficiency were 19 and 0.417. All patients were discharged home. Model (1), (2), and (3)'s R2 were 0.794, 0.970, and 0.972. Their mean residuals between the predicted and actual total FIM scores were -1.56±24.6, -4.49±17.1, and -2.69±15.7. Conclusion Our FIM gain and efficiency were better than national averages of FIM gain 17.1 and FIM efficiency 0.187. We made DL-based total FIM score prediction models, and their accuracies were superior to those of previous statistically calculated ones. The DL-based FIM score prediction models would save medical costs and perform efficient stroke and rehabilitation medicine.