Sustainable Development of Smart Regions via Cybersecurity of National Infrastructure: A Fuzzy Risk Assessment Approach

Abstract

This article proposes a scientifically grounded approach to risk assessment for infrastructural and functional systems that underpin the development of digitally transformed regional territories under conditions of high threat dynamics and sociotechnical instability. The core methodology is based on modeling of multifactorial threats through the application of fuzzy set theory and logic–linguistic analysis, enabling consideration of parameter uncertainty, fragmented expert input, and the lack of a unified risk landscape within complex infrastructure environments. A special emphasis is placed on components of technogenic, informational, and mobile infrastructure that ensure regional viability across planning, response, and recovery phases. The results confirm the relevance of the approach for assessing infrastructure resilience risks in regional spatial–functional systems, which demonstrates the potential integration into sustainable development strategies at the level of regional governance, cross-sectoral planning, and cultural reevaluation of the role of analytics as an ethically grounded practice for cultivating trust, transparency, and professional maturity.