Application of prognostic meteorologial variables to forecasts of daily maximum one-hour ozone concentrations in the northeastern United States.

Abstract

A linear multiple regression equation was developed for each of 27 ozone monitoring sites in the NE US to forecast the next day's maximum 1 hr average ozone concentration. Thirty-five prognostic meteorological variables, the climatological daily maximum surface temperature, the length and direction of 12 and 24 hr backward trajectories, and three air quality variables relating to the seasonality or the upwind ozone concentrations were considered as possible predictors in each of the regression equations.-from Authors