Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease is an early predictor of metabolic diseases in a metabolically healthy population

Abstract

Aims The relationship between nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and incident metabolic syndrome in metabolically healthy subjects is unknown. We aimed to investigate whether nonalcoholic fatty liver disease is a predictor of future metabolic syndrome in metabolically healthy subjects. Materials and methods Subjects who underwent health evaluation at least twice between 2009 and 2015 from the National Health Insurance Service-National Sample Cohort in South Korea were included. Patients without obesity who had no metabolic syndrome components were finally analyzed (n = 28,880). The definition of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease was based on both the hepatic steatosis and fatty liver indices. The incidence of metabolic syndrome, prediabetes/type 2 diabetes, hypertension, and dyslipidemia was compared between the subjects with and without nonalcoholic fatty liver disease. Results The presence of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease was associated with a higher risk of incident metabolic syndrome, prediabetes/type 2 diabetes, hypertension, and dyslipidemia in the entire cohort (metabolic syndrome: adjusted hazard ratio, 2.10; 95% confidence interval, 1.18–3.71; prediabetes/type 2 diabetes: adjusted hazard ratio, 1.42; 95% confidence interval, 1.06–1.90; hypertension: adjusted hazard ratio, 2.36; 95% confidence interval, 1.35–4.12; dyslipidemia: adjusted hazard ratio, 1.49; 95% confidence interval, 1.07–2.06). A similar finding was observed in the age-, sex-, smoking status-, and body mass index-based 1:5 propensity score-matched cohort of 1,092 subjects (metabolic syndrome: adjusted hazard ratio, 3.56; 95% confidence interval, 1.79–7.07; prediabetes/type 2 diabetes: adjusted hazard ratio, 1.97; 95% confidence interval, 1.04–3.73; hypertension: adjusted hazard ratio, 2.57; 95% confidence interval, 1.35–4.88; dyslipidemia: adjusted hazard ratio, 1.61; 95% confidence interval, 1.12–2.32). Conclusions Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease is an early predictor of metabolic dysfunction even in metabolically healthy populations.