Family Medicine in the Digital Age: Scenarios and Recommendations

Abstract

Aims The aim of this study was to examine the situation of family medicine in the digital age in order to discuss future trends and outline recommendations for action. Methods We conducted a structured deliberative process employing elements of the scenario method and involving relevant stakeholder perspectives. Based on an empirically informed analysis of current situations and trends, the scenario method allows the formation of practical recommendations. Results Extrapolating current trends in the medical profession, the patients, the technological development, and the healthcare system, we developed a best case and a worst case scenario of family medicine in the year 2050. From the analysis and discussion of the scenarios, we derived recommendations for practitioners and decision makers. Conclusions Based on the developed scenarios, we recommend twelve measures towards a model of future healthcare that is centered on family medicine and enables a comprehensive, digitally supported holistic and patient-oriented service provision.