Relationship Networks in Banking Around a Sovereign Default and Currency Crisis

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Abstract

We study how banks’ exposure to a sovereign crisis gets transmitted onto the corporate sector. To do so, we use data on the universe of banks and firms in Argentina during the crisis of 2001. We build a model characterized by matching frictions in which firms establish (long-term) relationships with banks that are subject to balance sheet disruptions. Credit relationships with banks more exposed to the crisis suffer the most. However, this relationship-level effect overstates the true cost of the crisis since profitable firms (e.g., exporters after a devaluation) might find it optimal to switch lenders, reducing the negative impact on overall credit and activity. Using linked bank-firm and firm-level data, we find evidence largely consistent with our theory.

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D’Erasmo, P., Moscoso Boedo, H., Olivero, M. P., & Sangiácomo, M. (2020). Relationship Networks in Banking Around a Sovereign Default and Currency Crisis. IMF Economic Review, 68(3), 584–642. https://doi.org/10.1057/s41308-020-00114-4

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