Review of Sub-Models in Groundwater System Dynamics Models to Facilitate “Lego-like” Modeling

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Abstract

Groundwater resource management involves complex socio-hydrological systems characterized by dynamic feedback, uncertainty, and common misconceptions among decision-makers. While deterministic models like MODFLOW simulate physical hydrology effectively, they fall short in capturing the social, legal, and behavioral dynamics shaping groundwater use. System dynamics (SD) modeling offers a robust alternative by incorporating feedback loops, delays, and nonlinearities. Yet, model conceptualization remains one of the most challenging steps in SD practice. Experienced modelers often apply a “Lego-like” approach—assembling new models from pre-validated sub-models. However, this strategy depends on access to well-documented sub-model libraries, which are typically unavailable to newcomers. To address this barrier, we systematically review and classify socio-economic sub-models from existing groundwater SD literature, organizing them by system archetypes and generic structures. The resulting modular library offers a practical resource that supports newcomers in building structured, scalable models. This approach improves conceptual clarity, enhances model reusability, and facilitates faster development of SD models tailored to groundwater systems. The study concludes by identifying directions for future research, including expanding the sub-model library, clarifying criteria for base-model selection, improving integration methods, and applying these approaches through diverse case studies to further strengthen the robustness and utility of groundwater SD modeling.

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Moghadam Manesh, M., & Beall King, A. (2025). Review of Sub-Models in Groundwater System Dynamics Models to Facilitate “Lego-like” Modeling. Water (Switzerland), 17(17). https://doi.org/10.3390/w17172559

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