Improving the Efficiency and Sustainability of Intelligent Electricity Inspection: IMFO-ELM Algorithm for Load Forecasting

Abstract

Electricity inspection is important to support sustainable development and is core to the marketing of electric power. In addition, it contributes to the effective management of power companies and to their financial performance. Continuous improvement in the penetration rate of new energy generation can improve environmental standards and promote sustainable development, but creates challenges for electricity inspection. Traditional electricity inspection methods are time-consuming and quite inefficient, which hinders the sustainable development of power firms. In this paper, a load-forecasting model based on an improved moth-flame-algorithm-optimized extreme learning machine (IMFO-ELM) is proposed for use in electricity inspection. A chaotic map and improved linear decreasing weight are introduced to improve the convergence ability of the traditional moth-flame algorithm to obtain optimal parameters for the ELM. Abnormal data points are screened out to determine the causes of abnormal occurrences by analyzing the model prediction results and the user’s actual power consumption. The results show that, compared with existing PSO-ELM and MFO-ELM models, the root mean square error of the proposed model is reduced by at least 1.92% under the same conditions, which supports application of the IMFO-ELM model in electricity inspection. The proposed power-load-forecasting-based abnormal data detection method can improve the efficiency of electricity inspection, enhance user experience, contribute to the intelligence level of power firms and promote their sustainable development.