Predictive value of stress hyperglycemia ratio on one-year mortality in chronic kidney disease patients admitted to intensive care unit

Abstract

Background: Stress Hyperglycemia Ratio (SHR) reflects the acute blood glucose variation in critically ill conditions. However, its prognostic value in chronic kidney disease (CKD) remains understudied. This study aimed to investigate the association between SHR and one-year mortality in CKD patients hospitalized in the Intensive Care Unit (ICU). Methods: Patients with diagnosis of CKD in the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV) database were enrolled. Incidence of all-cause mortality within one-year follow-up was used as the primary endpoint. Results: 1825 CKD patients were included in the study. A “U-shaped” relationship between SHR and one-year mortality as identified using multivariate restricted cubic spline (RCS) analysis. Then study population were categorized into three groups: Group 1 (SHR < 0.70), Group 2 (0.70 ≤ SHR ≤ 0.95) and Group 3 (SHR > 0.95). Group 2 showed significantly better one-year outcomes compared to the other two groups (p = 0.0031). This survival benefit persisted across subgroup analyses stratified by age, sex, CKD stage, anemia and various clinical conditions. Conclusion: SHR proved to be a meaningful biomarker for predicting one-year mortality in ICU-admitted CKD patients, with a “U-shaped” correlation. The identification of the optimal SHR range (0.70–0.95) provided clinicians with a valuable tool for detecting high-risk populations.