Sustainable Risk Management in Construction Through a Hybrid Fuzzy WINGS-ANP Method for Assessing Negative Impacts During Open Caisson Sinking

Abstract

Modern challenges in civil engineering require decision-making that supports the development of technologies in line with sustainable development principles, including minimizing environmental impact and improving occupational safety. Open caisson sinking, commonly used in underground construction, is particularly prone to generating complex negative impacts that affect construction quality, material efficiency, and working conditions. This study aims to identify the cause-and-effect relationships and assess the intensity of negative impacts associated with the open caisson sinking process. A comprehensive multi-criteria decision-making approach was developed, based on a novel hybrid method combining fuzzy WINGS and Analytic Network Process (ANP). This approach accounts for uncertainties and difficult-to-measure factors, providing a valuable tool for supporting complex engineering decisions. The proposed method facilitates improvements in process quality, reduces environmental risk, and helps eliminate typical execution errors. Research findings confirm that mitigating adverse impacts during caisson sinking enhances sustainable risk management in construction and supports rational decision-making under uncertainty. The method is universal and applicable in other domains requiring cause–effect analysis and the evaluation of impact intensity, especially in the context of implementing sustainable construction management practices.