Contrasting drivers of South Asian summer and winter monsoon evolution during the last deglaciation

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Abstract

Reconstructing past South Asian monsoon dynamics, which governs wind and rainfall patterns across the Indian subcontinent, is crucial for understanding low-latitude climate. Constraining monsoon drivers requires separating summer and winter components in palaeoclimate archives, but this remains challenging because proxy signals usually integrate seasonal signals. The northeastern Arabian Sea provides a unique setting in which sedimentary and geochemical proxies are driven by the summer monsoon, while sea surface temperature is primarily controlled by winter monsoon winds. Here we employed mass spectrometry and hyperspectral imaging on a sediment core off Pakistan to reconstruct subdecadal changes in sea surface temperature and marine primary production during the last deglaciation (~16,000–12,000 years ago). Atmospheric humidity and vegetation changes were additionally assessed by plant-wax isotope analyses on a subset of samples. We show that summer monsoon winds were driven by the Northern Hemisphere high-latitude climate on centennial-to-millennial timescales. Winter monsoon was primarily characterized by a millennial-scale decline in wind strength driven by increasing global temperatures, with superimposed centennial-scale variability. We identified an inverse relationship between winter monsoon wind strength and the amount of winter non-monsoonal precipitation. Mechanistic insights of seasonal monsoon dynamics improved interpretation of regional palaeoprecipitation records and may enhance climate model performances in low latitudes.

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Obreht, I., Lückge, A., Mohtadi, M., Zahajská, P., Schefuß, E., Scholz, D., … Hinrichs, K. U. (2026). Contrasting drivers of South Asian summer and winter monsoon evolution during the last deglaciation. Nature Geoscience. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-026-02023-z

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