Cyclostationary neural networks for air pollutant concentration prediction

Abstract

There are many substances in the air which may impair the health of plants and animals, including humans, that arise both from natural processes and human activity. Nitrogen dioxide NO2 and particulate matter (PM 10, PM2.5) emissions constitute a major concern in urban areas pollution. The state of the air is, in fact, an important factor in the quality of life in the cities, since it affects the health of the community and directly influences the sustainability of our lifestyles and production methods. In this paper we propose a cyclostationary neural network (CNN) model for the prediction of the NO2 and PM10 concentrations. The cyclostationary nature of the problem guides the construction of the CNN architecture, which is composed by a number of MLP blocks equal to the cyclostationary period in the analyzed phenomenon, and is independent from exogenous inputs. Some experiments are also reported in order to show how the CNN model significantly outperforms standard statistical tools and linear regressors usually employed in these tasks. © 2008 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg.